How do bookmaker’s calculate surebets
Blog » How do bookmaker’s calculate surebets
To receive income from betting, users choose different strategies. One of them are arbitrage bets or surebets. In this article we will tell you how bookmakers determine surebets, what tools they use for this and how anti-detect browsers help to protect accounts from bans.
Who are surebetters?🍴
Surebetters are users who bet on opposite outcomes of the same match or game. Such bets are called surebets (“sure bets”) or arbitrage bets.
For example, bookmaker’s office A publishes odds of 2.3 on the victory of the Spanish team. Bookmaker B publishes odds of 2.1 on the victory of the English team. Making a bet at both, the user will win in any case.
Surebets help users get a regular income from bets. The amount of winnings usually varies in the range of 5-10% of the bets made. If you want to know more about surebets, read how surebets work.
What differentiates surebetters from ordinary betters
Ordinary users bet on one particular outcome depending on their experience, assumptions, or simply because they like a particular player or team. Moreover, as a rule, they do not bet on all types of games and sports, but only on 3-4 that they follow.
Surebetters, on the other hand, place their bets:
- Regardless of the sport or league level,
- Only in case, if they see an arbitrage situation.
To find surebets, they can use special software, or they can search for them manually.
Bookmakers’ attitudes towards surebets
As a rule, all bookmakers are actively struggling with the surebetters. This is due to the fact that such users always win, and this reduces the profit of bookmakers’.
Betting companies prohibit the use of surebetters. You can read it in the rules when creating an account or on the website of a particular bookmaker’s office.
By what criteria do bookmakers calculate those who do this😶🌫️
Since surebets exist for years, bookmakers have accumulated enough data, which characterize the behavior of the surebetters. Such characteristics include:
Betting on obvious errors
Sometimes it happens that bookmakers put very high odds on an outcome by mistake. This happens because of a mistake in the algorithms or system.
As a rule, when the bookmaker detects this, he can reduce the odds, and the user will be in deficit. Moreover, the office will pay attention to all users who bet on this outcome.
Betting on not main outcomes
Ordinary players bet on more understandable outcomes, such as the victory of a particular team or score. The exception is betting professionals, who really carefully analyze games and can assume such an outcome. But there are few real professionals in betting.
Surebetters, on the other hand, can bet on complex outcomes. For example, that a goal will be scored at a certain stage of the game or by a certain player.
Betting on all kinds of sports and leagues
If ordinary users stick to a particular direction and bet only on it, surebetters can bet on anything: soccer, golf, chess, volleyball, etc.
It is hard to believe that the average user is interested in all sports at once. If a person has a lot of bets on different types of games and leagues, it will attract the attention of the security systems of the bookmakers.
Bets on the whole amount of the account
Because surebetters place bets from different accounts and at different bookmakers’ offices, they usually do not keep the money in their account for long and bet the full amount at once.
Repeat bets
If the odds of a particular outcome rise, a surebetter can make repeated bets to increase his winnings. Such behavior is peculiar to the surebetters, as ordinary users often limit themselves to one bet on a particular outcome.
Frequent requests for withdrawal
Surebetters frequently withdraw money right after winning. There are several reasons for that:
- To place these amounts on new bets,
- In the case of blocking the account, to avoid losing the entire amount.
The use of surebet scanners
Surebet scanners are special services that help to find arbitrage bets in different bookmakers’ offices. However, some such programs can be created by bookmakers themselves in order to catch surebetters. Moreover, if the scanner is free, it can earn money by selling the data of surebetters.
What tools identify surebetters
The anti-fraud algorithms are carefully guarded and vary from office to office. Similar to the scoring systems of banks, the exact criteria may not even be known by all employees who work in a particular office.
However, there are some common tools that are used to identify surebetters.
Behavioral pattern analysis
This includes the behavior described above: betting on the whole amount, on different sports, etc. Each anti-fraud system has its own criteria for identifying surebetters, based on historical data and the experience of a particular bookmaker’s office.
Users’ devices data
The fact that anti-fraud systems analyze and remember users’ IP addresses is known to almost all Internet users. However, not everyone is aware that in addition to IP, the systems analyze users’ digital fingerprints: a set of data about the user’s device, connection, and browser. This data includes dozens of parameters, such as language, screen parameters, memory capacity and number of cores of the device, etc.
The moment a user registers and logs in to his or her account, the system remembers these parameters and assigns them to a specific user.
If the user’s account is subsequently blocked, and he tries to create a new one with the same digital fingerprint, the anti-fraud systems will instantly identify him by those parameters.
Fake bets
Bookmakers may publish increased bets on some outcome, and then save the data of those users who bet on them.
This helps to calculate people who are potentially using surebets. Then each bookmaker acts according to its own rules. For example, the bookmaker may begin to analyze the betting history of a particular user and his behavior. Or immediately block the account for the duration of the investigation.
Information exchange between bookmakers
Since arbitrage bets are most often placed at different places, bookmakers may exchange data on suspicious users. Thanks to this, they can calculate the betting odds.
Request for additional documents for verification
When registering at bookmaker’s offices, users need to provide information about themselves: full name, date of birth, contact information, address, etc.
Surebetters need a large amount of accounts to work with the surebets. The main reasons: so that bookmakers do not suspect arbitrage bets, and in the case of blocking, it would be possible to continue work from another account.
Knowing this, with any suspicion, the office may ask the user for additional documents to confirm their identity.
Video call and interview on the basics of betting
Bookmakers can request video calls with their users.
For example, the office sees that a suspicious user has logged into the account. At that point, he may receive a message offering a video call. If the user agrees, during the conversation the office employee may ask tricky questions to find out if the person, on whom the account is registered, is really betting. They may ask when the account was registered, what was the last bet, when the last deposit was made and for what amount, etc.
What are the consequences of using surebets
Bookmaker offices prescribe possible penalties for arbitrage bets. For example, it can be:
- Reduction in the amount of winnings. If there are any suspicions of surebets, the bookmaker can reduce the user’s odds.
- Penalty. For example, on a part or the entire amount of winnings.
- Temporary blocking of the account.
- Lifelong blocking of the user without the ability to access the account.
How Dolphin{anty} can help⚡️
Dolphin{anty} is an anti-detect browser. With it, surebetters can:
- Change their digital fingerprints. If you have previously had your account blocked or if you want to create multiple accounts to work from all of them at the same time, you can do that with the anti-detect browser. Dolphin{anty} replaces over 20 partners of your device and browser settings to help you change your real fingerprint and become more like another regular user.
- Work with multiple accounts at the same time. In each individual tab, you can set up a different digital fingerprint. You can work with dozens of accounts from a single browser and device.
- Ability to speed up the work process. With the anti-detect browser you can automatically load dozens of accounts into the browser, update mobile proxies from the anti-detects interface, etc.
✅ If you have not used Dolphin{anty} before, you can test it for free. For this purpose, the anti-detect browser has a free plan for 10 browser profiles.
